A theorem in probability theory named for Thomas Bayes (1702-1761). In epidemiology, it is used to obtain the probability of disease in a group of people with some characteristic on the basis of the overall rate of that disease and of the likelihood of that characteristic in healthy and diseased individuals. The most familiar application is in clinical decision analysis where it is used for estimating the probability of a particular diagnosis given the appearance of some symptoms or test result.

Descriptor ID	D001499
MeSH Number(s)	E05.318.740.600.200 N05.715.360.750.625.150 N06.850.520.830.600.200
Concept/Terms	Bayes Theorem Bayes Theorem Theorem, Bayes Bayesian Forecast Bayesian Forecast Forecast, Bayesian Bayesian Prediction Bayesian Prediction Prediction, Bayesian Bayesian Analysis Bayesian Analysis Bayesian Approach Approach, Bayesian Approachs, Bayesian Bayesian Approachs Analysis, Bayesian Bayesian Method Bayesian Method Method, Bayesian

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